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CNAJ - IMPACT OF FINANCIAL DEEPENING INDICATION ON THE GROWTH OF NIGERIAN ECONOMY FROM 1985 TO 2020

IMPACT OF FINANCIAL DEEPENING INDICATION ON THE GROWTH OF NIGERIAN ECONOMY FROM 1985 TO 2020

Home IMPACT OF FINANCIAL DEEPENING INDICATION ON THE GROWTH OF NIGERIAN ECONOMY FROM 1985 TO 2020

Authors

Ugwu Okereke J. (Ph.D),Dr Awa Felix N,

Abstract

This paper investigated the responsiveness of economic growth to financial deepening in Nigeria from 1985 to 2020. The gross domestic product growth rate was used to represent Economic Growth while financial deepening indicators were private sector credit, deposit money bank deposits, and deposit money bank assets. Error correction model (ECM) approach was used estimate the models. The empirical results revealed that while deposit money bank deposits had positive and significant influence on economic growth, private sector credit and deposit money bank assets were negatively and significantly related to economic growth in Nigeria during the period of study. The outcomes entail that when deposit money bank deposits change by one-unit, economic growth increased by 4.92 units. On the other hand, when private sector credit and deposit money bank assets changed by one-unit, economic growth declined by 0.92 unit and 1.83 units, respectively. The result also indicates that inflation rate is negatively and significantly associated with economic growth. From the findings, it is concluded that financial deepening had significant impact on the growth of Nigerian economy.

Full Text

INTRODUCTION

Background of the study

A financial system consists of network of financial markets, businesses, institutions and government that participate in that system and regulate its operations (Herman and Klemm, 2019). The benefits arising from such a healthy and well developed financial system relate to savings, mobilization and efficient financial intermediation roles (Keshab, 2013; Gibson and Tsakalotos, 1994). The key essence  of financial systems in the saving-investment-growth nexus serves  to an extent as efficient vessel for: channeling funds from surplus to deficit units by mobilizing resources and ensuring an efficient transformation of such funds into real productive capital; creating sufficient liquidity into the economy by borrowing short-term and lending long-term; reducing information costs, providing risk management services and reducing risks from the system through diversification and techniques of risk sharing and risk poling; mobilizing savings from atomized individuals for investment, thereby solving the problem of indivisibility in financial transactions and mobilizing savings that would be invested in the most productive ventures irrespective of the source of the savings (Bakang, 2015). This he believes can be achieved either by direct market based financing or indirect bank-based financing. Financial deepening is the effectiveness of financial institutions in mobilizing savings for investment purposes (Kpodar, Goff and Singh, 2019). This is due to the fact that growths of domestic savings are crucial for diversification of financial claims. As such, it is the increased ratio of money supply to Gross Domestic Product (Nzott, 2004). According to Shaw (1973) financial deepening involves specialization in financial functions, organized domestic financial institution and marketing the gains in relation to foreign markets. It is an increase in monetary system that will enhance profitability of other institutions as well.

Financial deepening may promote economic growth by its ability to mobilize more investments thereby lifting returns to financial resources, and hence raises productivity (Ran, Chen & Li, 2020). Financial markets are important as they play intermediation roles by channeling funds from savers to investors (Ghani, 1992). With efficiency and without repression, the outcome of financial deepening is usually a well-developed financial sector with a sustainable economic growth. However, where there is no developed financial deepening, otherwise called “financial shallowness” the growth of the economy is not guaranteed (Tigabu, 2009). From the foregoing analysis, a competitive and well-developed financial sector must be an important contributor to economic growth. Well-functioning financial institutions will lead to economic efficiency, expanded liquidity, mobilized savings, capital accumulation and the transfer of resources from non-growth sectors to the more growth-inducing sectors (Ogbodo and Ojide, 2015). Besides, financial deepening encourages a competent entrepreneurial response in these growth are induced into the economy. Financial deepening has been found to enable the financial intermediaries to effectively perform their functions into productive capital venture (Ndege, 2012).

Statement of the problem

Financial deepening plays an important role in determining the growth of an economy. It broadens its resource base, raises the capital needed to stimulate investment through savings and credit, and these boost the overall productivity. The design and implementation of effective interventions and programs in the Nigerian banking sector has led to a continued growth in financial assets. However, economic growth in Nigeria, whether as a result of financial deepening or otherwise has been fluctuating over the past decades. This is as a result of the size of the financial sector and the growing volume of intermediated finance especially through the banking system. To this end, it becomes imperative to draw the financial deepening production and economic growth discourse in the context of the banking sector deepening in Nigeria with the purpose of ascertaining how it has impacted Nigeria’s economic growth.

 Objective of the study

The objective of the study is to determine the responsiveness of economic growth to financial deepening indicators in Nigeria. Specifically, to determine the impact of private sector credit on economic growth, examine the impact of deposit money bank deposit on economic growth and ascertain the impact of deposit money bank assets on economic growth in Nigeria.

Statement of hypotheses

The following null hypotheses were formulated to guide the study.

Ho1 Private Sector credit does not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

Ho2 Deposit money bank deposits do not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

Ho3 Deposit money bank assets does  not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE 

 Financial deepening

Financial deepening explains the expansion in the provision of financial services by financial intermediaries with a wider choice of services, targeted toward the development of all areas of the society (Ohwofasa and Aiyedogbon, 2013). Financial deepening aims at improving economic conditions through increased competitive efficiency within financial markets which in turn indirectly benefits the non-financial sectors of the economy (Nwnna and Chinwudu, 2016). Nzotta and Okereke (2009), asserts that financial deepening is the ability of financial institutions in an economy to effectively mobilize savings for investment purposes. Financial intermediaries are vehicles for financial deepening. Financial intermediaries mediate between the surplus economic unit (providers of financial resources) and deficit economic unit (users of financial capital) (Thakor, 2007). It mobilizes funds from households, firms or other financial intermediaries with surplus and idle financial resources, and lends it to other households; firms or other financial intermediaries with profitable investment opportunities but have inadequate funds. Financial deepening enables financial intermediaries perform their functions of mobilizing, pooling and channeling domestic savings into productive use more effectively thereby contributing to economic growth of a country. In addition to mobilizing savings and improving capital allocation, financial deepening reduces the extent and significance of information asymmetries and allows for risk transformation and monitoring. (Stiglitz and Greenwald, 2003).

 Economic growth

Economic growth is the increase in the capacity of an economy to produce goods and services from a period of time. It occurs when the productive capacity of a country increases. As an aggregate measure of total economic production for a country, it represents the market value of all final goods and services including personal consumption, government purchases, private inventories, paid-in construction costs and the foreign trade balances. There are two main measures instituted and used to measure economic growth. The Gross National Product (GNP) that computes the total value of goods and services produced by all nationals within and outside the country over a given period, and the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) which is considered as the broadest indicator of economic output and growth. It is designed to measure the value/volume of production of those activities that fall within the boundary of the national accounting system. GDP measures economic growth in monetary terms and looks at no other aspects of development. It can be expressed in nominal terms which include inflation or in real terms which are adjusted for inflation. Short term GDP is the annual percentage change in real national output. While long term GDP is the increase in trend or in potential GDP. In order to compare countries of different population sizes, GDP per capita is generally used.

 Private sector credit

The ratio of credit to the Private Sector (CPS) relative to nominal GDP indicates the level of financial services and is employed to measure all private resources used to finance the private sector. It is the most important measure of financial intermediary development, (Levine and Zervos (1998), Yartey, (2007) opines that it captures the channeling of funds from savers to investors in the private sector.  Ang, (2007) states that it excludes credit to government, government agencies and public enterprises as well as credit issued by the Central Bank (Levine, et al 2000).

 Commercial bank deposit

Commercial Bank Deposit is the ratio of commercial banks deposits to nominal GDP that shows the liquidity of the banking sector. Levine and Zervos, (1998) as quoted by Waiyaki (2013).States that Commercial bank deposits equal demand deposits plus time and saving deposits. The indicator provides an alternative measure to a broad money ratio, especially for developing countries, where a large component of the broad money stock is held outside the banking system (Kar and Pentecost, 2000)

 Deposit money bank assets

Commercial Bank Assets as the ratio of GDP captures the size of the banking sector. King and Levine (1993) took account of commercial banks assets in the measurement of financial sector indicators and assessed the extent to which commercial banks channel savings into investment, monitor firms, influence corporate governance and undertake risk management, relative to the central bank (Huang, 2005). Commercial banks are expected to be more efficient and effective in allocating the savings into productive and profitable projects as compared to central banks.

 Empirical review

Maxwell and Oluwatosin (2012) examined the influence of financial deepening on manufacturing output in Nigeria from 1970 to 2010. The study made use of vector auto regression technique to analyze banking annual data obtained from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) statistical bulletin and annual reports. The results revealed that the coefficients of financial deepening indicators included in the study do not exert significant effects on manufacturing output in Nigeria.

Elijah and Uchechi (2012) adopted Auto Regression Distributive Lag (ARDL) co-integration method to analyze the link between financial development and industrial production growth in Nigeria from 1970 to 2009 using time series secondary data obtained mainly from CBN statistical bulletin. The study found a co-integrating relationship between financial sector development and industrial production. Based on the outcomes, the study noted that one of the policy implications is that the most important task for Nigerian government is to ensure that further healthy financial sector reforms should be to improve the efficiency of the domestic financial sector.

Aiyetan and Aremo (2015) studied the effect of financial sector reform development on manufacturing output growth in Nigeria within the periods of 1986 to 2012. The study focused on the effects of financial sector development on disaggregated manufacturing output growth in Nigeria. Employing Vector Auto Regression (VAR) approach, the study examined whether or not financial sector variables stimulate growth of output in the manufacturing sector of Nigerian economy with reference to some key macroeconomic variables. The findings indicated that liberal financial system and a deepened financial sector would enhance output growth of manufacturing sector in Nigeria.

Alrabadi and Kharabsheh (2016) investigated the dynamic relationship between financial deepening and economic growth in Jordan over the period (1992-2014). Vector auto regressive regressions, Granger causality and Johansen-Juselius co-integration tests are employed to achieve the objectives of the study. Using quarterly data, the results indicated no statistically significant effect of financial deepening on economic growth on the short run. However, the co-integration tests showed a statistically significant long run equilibrium relationship between the two variables regardless of the proxy used for financial deepening. Moreover, the Granger causality test showed a bi-directional causality between economic growth and financial deepening when the latter is measured by the amount of credit granted to private sector. However, a one way causal relationship from the economic growth to financial deepening was found when the amount of deposits and money supply (M2) were used as proxies of financial deepening.

 Okoye, Nwakoby and Okorie (2016) examined the effect of economic liberalization policy on the performance of industrial sector in Nigeria. The study focused on how dynamism in some key macroeconomic variables, such as exchange rate, financial deepening, trade openness and lending rate, affected trend in output performance of Nigeria’s industrial sector in the post reform era. Using data spanning from 1986 to 2014, the study employed vector error correction mechanism. Results of the study revealed that financial deepening exert a significant positive impact on industrial output while the Granger Causality test showed that there is a weak causal relationship between financial deepening and industrial output with trade openness and industrial output exhibiting a bi-directional causation.

Mounde (2017) examined the causal relationship between foreign direct investment and manufacturing output in Nigeria using industry production for the determinant of manufacturing output from 1981 to 2016. The study adopted ex-post facto research design with 176 listed manufacturing companies’ being the sample size. Using Johansen co-integration test, the study found a long run relationship between foreign direct investment and output of manufacturing sector in terms of industry production. The study further revealed that there is a unidirectional causality between foreign direct investment and industry production in Nigeria. The causality runs from foreign direct investment to industry production both in the long run and short run.

Gezer (2018) examined the causal relationship between financial deepening and economic growth for fourteen upper middle income countries for the period during 1987 to 2015. Broad money supply, private credits, financial system deposit liabilities and deposit money banks’ assets were used as proxies of financial deepening. The Bootstrap Panel Granger Causality approach was used for this relationship based on Seemingly Unrelated Regression (SUR) model. Empirical findings indicated that countries can be clustered according to supply-leading and demand following approach. Besides, there exists evidence for bi-directional causality for some countries. This findings support the outcome in Igwebuike, Udeh and Okonkwo (2019) in the Nigerian context.

Nwakobi, Oleka and Ananwude (2019) evaluated the effect of financial deepening on economic growth in Nigeria over a period of thirty three years: 1986 to 2018. Data were collected from statistical bulletins of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and fact books of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE). The model estimation followed the Auto-regressive Distributive Lag (ADLR) approach with the effect, estimated in line with the Granger Causality Analysis. They found that economic growth in Nigeria was not affected by financial deepening. The study also stated that the level of growth in the economy is what influences the level of development in the banking sector. The implication is that the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Security and Exchange Commission (SEC) should formulate and implement policies geared towards the deepening of the banking sector.

Amaefule (2019) examined whether financial deepening enhances economic growth. The data sets were on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Money Supply (MS) and Credit to Private Sector (CPS) were used, covered the period of 1981 to 2016. The ARDL result showed no evidence of short-run relationship between financial deepening and economic growth but the long-run equilibrium relationship was only significant at 10% level. The result also showed that the system was getting adjusted towards long-run equilibrium at the speed of approximately 50%.

Theoretical framework

 Financial intermediation theory

Traditional theory of intermediation was propounded by Allen and Santomero (1996). The theory is based on transaction costs and asymmetric information, and is designed to account for institution which takes deposits and channel the funds to firms as a means of stimulating economic activities in an economy. Efficient financial deepening promotes financial intermediation which is seen as the extent to which financial institutions bring deficit spending units and surplus spending units together (Ndebbio, 2014). An important question this theory tries to answer is why do investors first lend to banks who then lend to borrowers, instead of lending directly? This theory is relevant to this study given that intermediated finance has been acknowledged to be pivotal in driving growth. Arguments point out to the fact that banks are able to effectively monitor borrowers and thus play the role of delegated monitoring. Literature has shown that reduced monitoring costs are a source of this comparative advantage. This study is anchored on theory, for it states that the selected arms of financial sector have a significant role in the channeling of fund from economic agents having surplus to economic agents having deficits. All the two sectors generate large pool of funds, and provide mechanisms that allow such fund to be assessed by other economic units in the economy. It is through the later (providing mechanisms that allow funds to be assessed) that the respective sectors foster financial deepening in the economy.

   METHODOLOGY

Research design

The study adopted the ex-post facto design. Being that the events had already taken place and is being examined.

      Sources of data

The data for this study was completely a secondary data. These are data that have been collected, processed and published. It was obtained from Central Bank Statistical Bulletin for the period from 1985 to 2020.

      Description and justification of research variables

The study employed annual data on selected variables from 1985 to 2020. The study adopted Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rate as proxy for economic growth, which is our dependent variable. The selected independent variables include private sector credit, deposit money bank deposits and deposit money bank assets as well as bilateral debt services, whereas inflation rate is our control variable.

     Model specification

Our model is patterned after Bakang (2019) which sought to investigate the effects of financial deepening on economic growth in Kenya. The model proposed in the paper is represented thus:

p                      p

Δ(GDP)t= β0+Ʃβ1Δ (GDP)t – iƩβ2Δ (FD)t-i3ECTt-it                      (1)

                                        i=4                                  i=4

The ECM enables us to distinguish between the short-run and the long-run and its results indicate the speed of adjustment back to long run equilibrium after a short run shock. The estimated equation is used to obtain the ECT (ECTt-i) which is later used in the ECM.

The variant of our models follows the modification of Equ (1) and is expressed as follows:

                        p                      p                      p                     p

GDPGRt= β0 + Ʃβ1PSCt+ Ʃβ2DMBDt+ Ʃβ3DMBAt + Ʃβ4INFt + β5 ECTt-1 + εt    (2)

                                        i=4                                 i=4                                 i=4                                  i=4

Where tdenotes time,

GDPGR    =     Gross Domestic Product Growth Rate

PSC          =     Private Sector Credit (% of GDP)

DMBD     =     Deposit Money Bank Deposits (% of GDP)

DMBA     =     Deposit Money Bank Assets (% of GDP)

INF           =     Inflation Rate

ECT          =     Error Correction Term

βo              =          Intercept

β1 – β4   =          Coefficient

ε               =     Error Term

Method of data analysis

We tested our variables for stationarity using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test. Based on the outcome, we employed the Error Correction Model (ECM) estimation technique in analyzing our model. We also subjected our data set to descriptive statistics and analysis.

     RESULTS

 

Table 1. Descriptive Statistics results

Statistics       GDPGR          DMBD            DMBA            PSC                 INF

Mean               22.15468         4.813902         23.69442         11.55074         19.69049

Median            18.67685         4.342827         22.74509         8.255015         12.16854

Maximum       64.23759         9.322883         40.65480         20.77330         76.75887

Minimum        5.285688         2.430364         12.13976         6.217349         0.223606

Std. Dev.         13.17187         1.713585         7.408225         5.392513         18.63550

Skewness        1.271856         0.696621         0.447598         0.724697         1.700137

Kurtosis          4.621457         2.719755         2.358566         1.742232         4.819276

Jarque-Bera    13.27024         2.945337         1.768687         5.370638         21.68779

Probability      0.001313         0.229313         0.412985         0.068199         0.000020

Sum                 775.4138         168.4866         829.3047         404.2760         689.1672

Sum Sq. Dev.  5898.938         99.83674         1865.981         988.6926         11807.58

Observation          35                  35                    35                     35                     35    

Source: Researcher’s computation, 2020

 

Table 1 explains the statistical descriptions of the variables in our model. The results revealed that Gross Domestic Product Growth (GDPG) averaged 22.15% while the deposit money bank deposit relative to GDP (DMBD) averaged 4.81%. The mean of deposit money bank asset relative to GDP (DMBA) was 23.69%. Moreover, private sector credit as a share of GDP (PSC) and inflation rate (INF) averages 11.55 and 19.69, respectively. The Maximum DMBD was 9.32% in 2008 but lowest at 2.43% in 1989. GDPGR peaked at 64.24% while the maximum trajectory for DMBA and PSC was 40.65% and 20.77% respectively. The INF ranged between 0.22% and 18.64% over the period of 1985 – 2019. The results also showed that DMBA, DMBD and PSC are normally distributed which is indicated by the p-value of the Jarque-Bera (J-B) statistics all of which are less than 5%. However, GDPGR and INF did not provide evidence of normal distribution, with the p-value of J-B statistics being less than 5%.

 Stationarity test

Table 2. Unit root test results

Variable

  ADF- Stat.

5% Critical Value

P-value

 Order of Integration

  Inference

GDPGR

-7.825565

-2.954021

    0.0000

      I(1)

  Stationary

DMBD

-4.668489

-2.954021

    0.0007

      I(1)

  Stationary

DMBA

-3.511926

-2.954021

    0.0139

      I(1)

  Stationary

PSC

-3.591183

-2.954021

    0.0115

      I(1)

  Stationary

INF

-5.262106

-2.954021

    0.0002

      I(1)

  Stationary

Source: Researcher’s computation, 2020

Results of stationarity test in Table 2 show that our variables are all stationary at the same order of integration. This entails that GDPGR, DMBD, DMBA, PSC and INFINT do not have unit root and are stationary at first difference, I(1). Given this outcome, it becomes appropriate we employ the Error Correction Model (ECM) technique in estimating our model.

 

 Error correction model (ECM) regression result

Table 3. ECM results

Dependent Variable: D (GDPGR)

Method: Least Squares

Date: 05/10/20           

Time: 15:25

Sample (adjusted): 1989 to 2020

Included observations: 34 after adjustments

 

Variable                      Coefficient      Std. Error        t-Statistics      Probability

D(DMBD)                   4.916704         2.492643         1.972486         0.0085

D(DMBA)                  -1.833661         0.698715         -2.624333        0.0139

D(PSC)                      -0.922618         0.781512         -1.180555            0.0077

D(INF)                        -0.190953         0.078593         -2.429663            0.0218

ECT(-1)                     -0.818673         0.154139         -7.906314            0.0000

    C                             0.511975         1.271854           0.402542           0.6903

R-Squared                   0.748662         Mean dependent var               0.273634

Adjusted R-squared    0.703780         S.D dependent var                  13.58620

S.E of regression        7.394435         Akaike info criterion              6.998118

Sum squared resid      1530.975         Schwarz criterion                   7.267475

Log likelihood          -112.9680          Hannan-Quinn criterion         7.089976

F-statistic                    16.68076         Durbin-Watson stat.               1.678030

Source: Researcher’s computation, 2020  

Regression estimates in Table 3 reveals that DMBD has positive and significant influence on economic growth (GDPGR). Moreover, the results show that both DMBA and PSC have negative and significant impact on economic growth. Similarly, we also observe that INF is negatively and significantly related to the dependent variable. These outcomes entail that when DMBD changed by one-unit, GDPGR increased by 4.92 units. On the other hand, when DMBA changed by one-unit, GDPGR declined by 1.83 unit. The result also indicates that one-unit change in PSC and INF lead to about 0.92 units and 0.19 unit decrease in economic growth. The result also indicated that the speed of adjustment or the error correction term (ECT) has the right sign and is significant. The coefficient of the ECT which is -0.82 implies that deviations from long-run equilibrium relationship are corrected at the speed of 82% annually. The coefficient of determination shows that the regressors account for about 75% of the variations in economic growth while the remaining 25% could be attributes to other variables not included in the model. The results further indicated that the regressors jointly have significant effect on public investment as shown by the p-value of the F-statistic (0.00000<0.05). The Durbin-Watson statistic is also approximately 2.0, thereby indicating that our model do not have autocorrelation problems.

 

 

 Test of hypotheses

Acceptance or rejection of the hypotheses was based on the t-value and p-value. The decision rule was to accept alternate hypotheses if the t-value > 2.000 and p-value < 0.05. Reject alternate hypotheses if t-value < 2.000 and p-value is > 0.05. Accept hypotheses if the t-value < 2.000 and p-value > 0.05. Reject null hypotheses if the t-value > 2.000 and p-value < 0.05.

The results from the ECM model estimation were used in testing hypotheses formulated, where the decision rule as explained in this sub-section were applied in rejecting or accepting the null hypotheses.

 Test of hypotheses one

 H01: Private sector credit does not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

H1: Private sector credit has significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

Decision: The hypothesis was tested using the error correction model estimation result in table 3 above. The result showed that private sector credit is negatively and significantly associated with economic growth in Nigeria. The results reported a t-statistics of -2.18 and p-value of 0.0077 < 0.05. Therefore, the study rejects the null hypothesis and accepts the alternate hypothesis which states that private sector credit has significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

 Test of hypotheses two

H02: Deposit money bank deposits do not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

H2: Deposit money bank deposits have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

Decision:  The Hypothesis was tested using the ECM estimation result in table 3. The result revealed that deposit money bank deposits have positive and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. We observed that the t-statistics of the beta coefficient is 2.07 and the p-value is 0.0085 < 0.05. Therefore, the study rejects the null hypothesis and accepts the alternate hypothesis that deposit money bank deposits have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

 Test of hypotheses three

H03: Deposit money bank assets do not have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

H03: Deposit money bank assets have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

Decision: The hypothesis was tested using the ECM estimation result in table 3. The result revealed that deposit money bank assets have negative and significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria. We observed that the t-statistics of the beta coefficient is -2.62 and the p-value is 0.0139 < 0.05. Therefore, the study rejects the null hypothesis and accepts the alternate hypothesis that deposit money bank assets have significant impact on economic growth in Nigeria.

 CONCLUSION

The results revealed that while deposit money bank deposits had significant influence on economic growth, private sector credit and deposit money bank asset were negatively and significantly related to economic growth in Nigeria during the coverage period. The result also indicates that inflation rate is negatively and significantly associated with economic growth. This paper analyzed the responsiveness of economic growth to financial deepening in Nigeria from 1985 to 2020. The specific objectives of the study are to determine the impact of private sector credit, deposit money bank deposits, and deposit money bank assets on economic growth in Nigeria. The empirical results revealed that while deposit money bank deposits had positive and significant influence on economic growth, private sector credit and deposit money bank assets were negatively and significantly related to economic growth in Nigeria during the coverage period, the result also showed that inflation rate is negatively and significantly associated with economic growth. It was observed that deviations from long-run equilibrium relationship during the period were connected at the speed of 81.87% annually. From the findings, we conclude that financial deepening had significant impact on the growth of Nigerian economy.

RECOMMENDATIONS

1.     The monetary authorities should adhere strictly to the appropriate use of monetary policy to stimulate the economy with further implications for effective credit creation and lending to the priority sector of the Nigerian economy.

2.       The monetary authority and the banking sector should take actions that will encourage savings as well as investment.

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                                                           APPENDIXES

  Dataset for the Study

      Year

    DMBD

  DMBA

PSC

GDPGR

INF

1985

1986

1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

3.66468

3.284886

3.206394

3.3303

2.430364

3.119776

3.699219

3.65612

3.965116

3.70707

2.744866

2.537725

3.117099

3.099857

3.8089

16.64189

19.60064

19.97618

18.1149

15.4758

16.60229

19.71528

17.49728

17.96268

16.7365

13.30276

12.13976

14.2127

15.13656

20.16105

6.797795

7.531977

8.452161

8.530747

7.252738

6.713879

6.937812

6.388518

10.09616

8.1361

6.217349

6.313526

7.690533

7.669579

8.123968

12.85114

5.285688

23.2186

28.41955

30.86451

19.19875

19.28603

52.64012

38.3893

40.00907

64.23759

30.53092

8.798514

11.6097

15.65424

1.030928

13.67347

9.694794

61.21113

44.67005

3.614035

22.9597

48.80198

61.26226

76.75887

51.59132

14.31428

10.21333

11.91292

0.223606

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

5.001845

5.507912

4.446339

4.342827

4.206106

4.250743

5.226011

6.884664

9.322883

7.647022

7.013593

7.813305

7.069745

6.443603

5.894723

6.238734

6.089341

5.618292

5.172605

4.813902

5.124613

22.74509

27.62479

24.41598

22.91353

21.66857

20.27446

25.02552

33.28251

40.6548

39.56788

31.73565

30.76789

29.68481

30.34141

30.91341

29.92541

31.21784

30.42247

29.12198

23.69442

22.74612

7.678375

9.40433

8.211023

8.243662

8.207608

8.255015

7.991697

11.1187

17.67332

20.55309

18.59843

16.92602

20.42738

19.66704

19.23939

19.83693

20.7733

19.42813

17.62796

11.55074

13.61063

29.96067

17.92914

39.31713

17.37789

30.22004

28.56993

28.70452

15.11704

18.67685

13.09488

23.31844

15.32281

13.86707

11.6834

11.17588

5.729041

7.801301

12.04277

12.35662

9.15468

11.23416

14.52697

16.49485

12.16854

23.81136

10.00848

11.56515

8.548721

6.563952

15.05556

13.92956

11.8

10.28303

11.98108

7.956881

7.978297

9.55

18.55

15.37161

11.4

19.69049

16.54268

Source: Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin (various years)



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